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1.7 What Does AI Not Guarantee?


           ◆ Key idea: A useful system does not guarantee correct results.
           A system can be valuable without guaranteeing factual accuracy, currency, exact
           calculation, understanding of unstated context, or confidentiality. Knowing these limits
           helps us decide when a task requires a source, a calculation tool, or an expert.


         First, an AI system does not guarantee factual accuracy. A generative model is designed to
         produce coherent text, not to verify every sentence. When it lacks a source or detail, it may
         hallucinate:  produce  an  incorrect  claim,  number,  or  reference  that  sounds  convincing.

         Chapter Four discusses methods for verifying such outputs in detail [10].

         Second, a system does not guarantee that information is current. A model’s knowledge may
         stop at a certain date, known as its knowledge cutoff, or it may rely on an outdated source.

         Even a tool connected to the internet may select a weak source. Information may have been
         true in the past but no longer be current.


         Third,  a  system  does  not  guarantee  accurate  calculation  merely  because  it  can  explain
         mathematics. Language models process symbols and may make mistakes in long addition,
         unit  conversion,  or  percentage  calculation.  When  a  reliable  number  is  required,  use  a

         calculator, spreadsheet, or other calculation tool, then ask the model to explain the result.
         Likewise, statistical similarity does not prove causation; a system may describe a correlation
         as though it were a cause.


         Fourth, a system does not guarantee understanding of implicit context or values. It may read
         a policy but not know the organization’s unwritten culture, the sensitivity of a relationship,
         or the effect of a decision on an individual. It may also reflect biases in the data or in the

         objective’s definition. We should therefore ask not only, “Can it?” but also, “Should it, and
         what would an error cost?”

         Fifth, a system does not guarantee equal performance across groups or cases. It may work

         well for one group of users, one dialect, or one document type and noticeably less well for
         another, because the training data or the chosen objective did not represent them equally.
         Results should therefore be examined group by group, not only as a single average score.


         Sixth, a system does not guarantee confidentiality. Data entered into a tool may be stored,
         processed  outside  the  organization,  or  used  in  ways  the  user  did  not  intend.  Personal,

         contractual, and internal information should be handled only in an approved environment,
         and no more data should be provided than the task requires.





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